The shading shows you the general range of strengths for each seed.Although not a huge effect, the gap between the No. 5 and 6 seeds and their competition has been narrowing over time. The average difference between No. 5 and 12 seeds from 2000 to 2002 was about 7.6 points, but it has been about 5.8 from 2012 to 2014.More importantly, the 5 vs. 12 matchup looks a lot more like the 6 vs. 11 one than it does the 4 vs. 13. The No. 5 seeds have been considerably weaker than No. 4 seeds, and No. 12 seeds have been considerably stronger than No. 13 seeds. The average No. 5 seed had a 6.6 point expected advantage going into a game against its No. 12 seed opponent. That’s only 2.2 points higher than the average advantage that No. 6 seeds held against No. 11 seeds (4.4 points), but it’s 5.1 points lower than the average advantage that No. 4 seeds held against No. 13 seeds (11.7 points).It seems like the 5 vs. 12 seed matchup is the threshold where the games should start being much more competitive. Combine that with the psychological effect of thinking five is a number that has more in common with four than six (blame our five fingers), and you have a recipe for “shocking” upsets.That is, there are a number of upsets, but we shouldn’t really be shocked. Even just looking at recent history, No. 5 seeds have only been a greater than 10 point SRS favorite in eight round-of-64 games since 2005, and they won 7 of them.3The loser was Illinois against Western Kentucky in 2009. The No. 5 seed has been an SRS underdog three times (and lost twice). Still, the No. 5 seed has performed below what one would expect based on the difference between them and their opponents. But so have most seeds. Here’s a chart comparing the average expected outcomes based on SRS difference and average actual outcomes for each seed over the past 12 years:From this angle, the No. 5 seed “outlier” doesn’t look as impressive. Seeds No. 1 through 6 all underperformed expectations by a smallish — but somewhat consistent — amount. The main difference with the No. 5 seed is that it didn’t have a big enough advantage to underperform this much without losing a lot more games.In other words, if there’s something that has systematically led tournament favorites to underperform their expectations by a few points or so across the board,4As a strictly mathy thing, having a somewhat constant deviation isn’t as weird as it may seem because the standard deviation for a team’s actual SRS is similarly stable. So in this case, it’s a bit like the stronger teams are all running one standard deviation below the expected mean. No. 5 seeds would be disproportionately hard-hit. Thus the 5-seed jinx may be more like the proverbial “canary in a coal mine,” indicating that something bigger is going on.We know the Big Dance is exciting, but could there really be something about the tournament that makes favorites underperform and gives underdogs better-than-normal chances?It’s tricky. For example, the selection committee may systematically overvalue particular types/classes of teams, but that doesn’t necessarily explain why teams would underperform relative to SRS. Some of it could be that SRS is poorly calibrated for the types of matchups we see in the tournament (e.g., between larger and smaller conferences that rarely play each other). It could be that favorites are more likely to regress to the mean.5This is always a good candidate, but, interestingly, there is no such effect in the women’s tournament.Or it could just be that this is March Madness, and anything can happen. If there’s one piece of folk wisdom that has emerged over the past decade or so of March Madness, it’s that No. 5 seeds are jinxed. SportsCenter did a whole story on the subject featuring Virginia Commonwealth University. In 2012, VCU was a No. 12 seed that pulled off a “shocking” upset against Wichita State. In 2013, VCU was itself a No. 5 but defied the trend, crushing No. 12 Akron by 46 points to become the only No. 5 seed to win its opening-round (round of 64) game that year. In 2014, VCU’s story came full circle. It again entered the tournament as a No. 5 seed but was upset by unheralded No. 12 seed Stephen F. Austin University. The tournament quirk that was once VCU’s magic was now its curse.Including those VCU games, No. 12 seeds over the past three years have pulled off upsets in eight of 12 round-of-64 matchups, including six of their last eight. It would be extremely easy to dismiss this as a freak occurrence. (I certainly did at first.) But it’s a real phenomenon. And after looking into it, I think it may be indicative of something larger. The 5-seed jinx may be a sign that March Madness — at least on the men’s side — is even madder than we think.But I’ll get there. First, let’s look at the phenomenon. If it seems like No. 12 seeds beat No. 5 seeds more than they should, it’s because they have. Going back to 1995, No. 5 seeds have been upset 33 times in 80 games. Their 59 percent win rate compares unfavorably to the 66 percent win rate of No. 6 seeds. Based on the trend, it would appear that No. 5 seeds should be winning more like 72 percent. Take a look at how far No. 5 seeds deviate in the chart below. The gray region is the standard error on the fit between seed and win percentage when not including the No. 5 seed:So they’re an outlier, but is it significant? Particularly, how unlikely is this to have happened by chance? Let us consult the oracle of binom.dist() — Excel’s handy function that tells you the probability of things happening a certain number of times, given the probability of them happening once. In a fun bit of symmetry, given an expected win rate of 72 percent, the odds of No. 5 seeds losing six of eight, eight of 12, or 33 of 80 are all about the same: Each is a little under 1 percent.10.8 percent, 0.6 percent and 0.7 percent, respectively.Note that it would be unremarkable for this to have happened by chance: One in a hundred-type things happen every day. But, as a committed Bayesian, I have to consult my priors and determine whether the phenomenon of No. 5 seeds’ underperforming is more likely to be a result of chance or other plausible factors.First, let’s look at how strong each seed’s teams have been since 1995. As you go from the 1 vs. 16 matchups down to the 8 vs. 9 ones, the better-seeded teams get worse and the worse-seeded teams get better, making the contests much closer. To see how much so, we can plot each team’s SRS (Simple Rating System, a metric that measures margin of victory adjusted for strength of schedule) prior to the game.2I backed these out myself, so there may be very small differences from what was actually recorded at the time. They’re as prior to each team’s round-of-64 match for each year (since 1995). Check out FiveThirtyEight’s March Madness predictions. read more


first_imgJuventus boss Massimiliano Allegri will field a star-studded team in hopes of topping Group H.Juventus will play Young Boys on Wednesday and hope to clinch the top spot of their group. Asked if Cristiano Ronaldo would have been rested if the top spot was already secured, Allegri told reporters: “For sure, just like many others,” as quoted by Goal.“Chiellini definitely does not play due to the synthetic pitch. Alex Sandro is almost back, but to immediately put him on the synthetic pitch seemed risky. He will be ready for Saturday.“Chiellini I will leave to rest because on the plastic he can have problems. I also told him not to walk too much. In any case, there will be no excuses and a victory must be brought home.Franck Ribery, FiorentinaFiorentina owner: “Ribery played better than Ronaldo!” Andrew Smyth – September 14, 2019 Fiorentina owner Rocco Commisso was left gushing over Franck Ribery’s performance against Juventus, which he rates above that of even Cristiano Ronaldo’s.“Juve is among the big clubs and avoiding the other first-place sides is very important. There are teams like Real, Barcelona, ​​City and maybe Paris Saint-Germain. Also, I hope all the Italian teams pass to the next stage.“Finishing top does not mean that we will face an easy team in the last 16, but certainly softer.”Allegri previously said that a victory against Young Boys is the most important thing for the club right now.last_img read more


first_imgWILMINGTON, MA — The below announcement is from the Wilmington Democratic Town Committee:Have fun and support the Billerica, Tewksbury, and Wilmington Democratic Town Committees at our annual fundraiser, hosted by comedian, political satirist, and 2018 candidate for Massachusetts Lieutenant Governor, Jimmy Tingle on Saturday, October 5.The doors will open at 7:00 p.m. and the event kicks off at 8:00 p.m. sharp. Jimmy Tingle will take the stage and perform bits of his show, “Jimmy Tingle’s 20/20 Vision.” As the nation looks ahead to the upcoming presidential campaign of 2020, Tingle will entertain, enlighten and challenge the audience to move beyond the current politics of presidential tweets, sound bites, and the nightly news cycle and into the realm of long-term thinking and life affirming possibility.The event will also include a live auction, cash and check only. There is a cash bar and light snacks will be provided. Attendees can bring their own food to the event, but no drinks are allowed due to the cash bar.Tickets will be available at the door for $35.00 each. All proceeds will be divided evenly by all three Democratic Town Committees.Like Wilmington Apple on Facebook. Follow Wilmington Apple on Twitter. Follow Wilmington Apple on Instagram. Subscribe to Wilmington Apple’s daily email newsletter HERE. Got a comment, question, photo, press release, or news tip? Email wilmingtonapple@gmail.com.Share this:TwitterFacebookLike this:Like Loading… RelatedALL POLITICS ARE LOCAL: Robertson & Gordon Explain Why They’re Endorsing Markey Despite Likely Kennedy PrimaryIn “Government”Local, State & Federal Officials Speak At Wilmington Democratic Town Committee Breakfast (with PHOTOS)In “Government”STATE REP RACE: Tewksbury Republican Committee Attack Robertson Over Wilmington Democratic Committee Chair’s StatementIn “Government”last_img read more


first_img “When they talk about their electric cars, many carmakers promote the same rational and empirical data-driven messages as they do with their internal combustion engined cars, such as range, economy and performance criteria,” Guillaume explains. “Kia prides itself on its power to surprise, which is why we wanted to move away from the rational and focus on the emotional, and embrace a warmer and more human approach to electrification.”OK, so let’s talk about what we do know: Kia’s concept is a large, C-segment car with a high-riding stance, “intentionally designed to not sit within the industry’s predefined vehicle categories,” according to the automaker’s statement. The front fascia has an illuminated grille surround, and the main headlights are housed in individual blocks of glass. Underneath the car is a “low-mounted, induction-charged battery pack that powers a compact drivetrain.” (This vague powertrain data is as technical as Kia gets.) Geneva Motor Show 2019 If you’re looking for hard data about Kia’s electric Geneva Motor Show concept, you’re out of luck. Dubbed “Imagine by Kia,” this big four-door doesn’t focus on things like power or range or advanced driving tech. Instead, it’s all about emotion.”Today’s drivers understandably have many questions about electric cars. They’re concerned about range, the recharging network and whether electric cars will still be dynamic and engaging to drive,” said Gregory Guillaume, Kia’s vice president of design, in a statement. “So, when we first started thinking about this concept and imagining what its role would be, we knew that the best way to answer those questions and address those concerns was by approaching electrification purely from an emotional point of view.”Answering questions by — *checks notes* — not answering them? Go on… Concept Cars Electric Cars 0 1:45 Kia See All Now playing: Watch this: reading • Kia Imagines an electric car with coach doors, silk seats and 21 screens Tags Geneva Motor Show 2019 Kia Mar 7 • New Peugeot 208 debuts i-Cockpit with 3D HUD Combo dashboard Apr 17 • The 2020 Jaguar XE gets its first major visual refresh 16 Photos Share your voice Mar 8 • VW is still ‘100 percent’ investigating a pickup truck for the US 2019 Kia K900: The best luxury sedan you’ve never heard of 2020 Kia Soul EV first drive: More style, more range, more fun ‘Imagine by Kia’ concept: part design study, part parody Imagine by Kia Concept brings 21 screens to the Geneva Motor Show The exterior color comes off as a sort of bronze, and there’s a lot of depth to the hue. Kia says six layers of chrome-effect silver paint were applied to the car’s body, and then covered in a bronze tint.A single piece of glass serves as the windshield and the roof, and tapers into a double-bubble design over the rear of the car. The more you look at the car, the more its elegant surfacing becomes apparent. But because of its 22-inch wheels, wrapped in Goodyear 255/35-series “Intelligrip EV Concept” tires, and large car proportions, it’s hard to tell if this car is really worthy of being called “pretty.” Seeing it in person will surely help.Enlarge ImageKia says the Imagine is about the size of a C-segment sedan, but uses SUV styling cues. Kia Open the coach doors and move inside, and you’re greeted by 21 individual ultra high-resolution screens. The displays curve their way across the dashboard for a look that’s “both casual and coordinated,” according to Kia. This super techy display is actually Kia poking fun at modern cars’ ever-growing infotainment displays.”These 21 incredibly thin screens are a humorous and irreverent riposte to the ongoing competition between some automotive manufacturers to see who can produce the car with the biggest screen,” Kia Europe’s head of interior design, Ralph Kluge, said in a statement.Imagine by Kia ConceptEnlarge ImageYo dawg, we heard you like screens… Kia When viewed from the driver’s seat, the 21 screens appear to form one single display. A robust infotainment system is said to be housed within, with “birds-eye navigation,” as well as the usual roster of media and connected functionality.The slim seating surfaces are covered in leather and silk, and the floating center console sits above the low, flat load floor. Two cargo compartments are found up front (a frunk) and around back, and the Imagine Concept uses a hatchback design, for easier access to your belongings.Given the lack of tangible data, it’s hard to, uh, Imagine this car is destined for production in some form or another. But we like what we see in terms of lighting and infotainment design, as well as body surfacing. Kia’s concept car may be short on details, but there’s certainly a lot to talk about.Imagine by Kia ConceptEnlarge ImageThe hatchback design is said to visually link this concept to the Kia Stinger. Kia More From Roadshow Post a comment 2020 Kia Telluride review: Kia’s new SUV has big style and bigger value Mar 7 • The Ferrari F8 Tributo is the last of the nonhybrid V8s •last_img read more


first_img More information: www.festo.com/cms/en_corp/11369.htmvia IEEE Explore further (PhysOrg.com) — The great thing about robots is that they come in all shapes and sizes. Of course, that is also one of the creepiest things about robots too. You never know what is going to be a robot these days. There are people shaped robots, there are robots that are designed to explore the depths of space. That bird that you see on the building. It could be a robot too. Citation: It’s a bird, it’s a plane, it’s a robot bird (w/ video) (2011, March 29) retrieved 18 August 2019 from https://phys.org/news/2011-03-bird-plane-robot-video.html The robot bird, who has been given the to-the-point name of SmartBird, was shown off by robotics company Festo. Festo is a robotics company that seems to enjoy making bots that are shaped like animals. They have previously created both a robotic elephants trunk that is sensitive enough to grab items, and a set of robot penguins that have learned to avoid each other. Who knows, maybe this remote controlled gull will be the spy bot of the future. One, slightly more pragmatic goal may be to co-opt the wing technology to create what are known as ‘stroke wing generators’, which can use this same motion in order to generate power from water. So, this little bird may actually be green.center_img © 2010 PhysOrg.com The SmartBird design is based on a real life bird, a herring gull, who is able to take off, with the help of an on board motor. Then the wings begin to flap. Once they get beating at the right speed, the wings begin to imitate the way that real birds fly. The front edge of the wing twists, and generates thrust, and the tail acts the same way that a rudder would, steering the bird in different directions. Toyota’s musical robots (w/ Video) This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only.last_img read more


first_imgIt is said that the famous Chinese pilgrim and explorer Huen Tsang, while documenting his 15 years of stay in India, observed that Indians were very intelligent, healthy and took a lot of care of their diet. He mentions that Indians are healthier and possess better intellect due to their usage of fruits in their diet which is much more in comparison to other societies. Whereas that might be contested, there is no getting away from the fact that fruits, both fresh and dried have been eaten since mankind’s earliest days and have been held in extremely high esteem. India has always prided itself as being among the few countries where there are a variety of fruits available throughout the year. Also Read – Add new books to your shelfCulinary Uses of Fruits Since time immemorial, fruits have formed an important part of the culinary development of cuisines all across the world. In India, fruits and food items containing fruits have been traditionally eaten for fasting and at festivals. Apart from that, the fact that most fruits are perishable, many of those were used at various stages of ripening such as a mango for mango pickle, jam, mango leather, mango juice etc. These days there is a trend of using fruits for many savoury dishes to primarily provide the dish with a contrasting flavour, texture, and lightness. Also Read – Over 2 hours screen time daily will make your kids impulsiveWhereas it is normally perceived that consuming fresh fruit is best but the cooking of certain fruits such as oranges, apples and pineapple etc dramatically intensify the inherent flavours and create interesting textures. Different methods Although most fruits can be cooked in one way or the other, most ripe fruits should be cooked quickly and at high heat to preserve and intensify flavour while at the same time retain the texture and firmness. Apples, apricots, cherries, plums, and pears are great fruits to roast, grill or broil and serve as a part of a salad or a main course. To make jams, sauces, and compotes, the fruits have to be cooked on a lower heat for a far longer time. It is true that most fruits and vegetables lose some part of their nutritional components when cooked, but indeed cooked fruits have a charm of their own and also is a great way to increase their shelf life. Some Tips Most fruits pair really well with spices such as cinnamon, star anise, and nutmeg etc. It is a good idea to include these while cooking fruits. Try and use a minimum quantity of added sugar, most ripe fruits are sweet enough and any added sugar takes away their health benefits. Rum, wine, various fruit liquors, and brandies are also excellent flavour enhancers for fresh fruits, especially the fruits that are served in a semi-liquid form such as compotes and stewed fruits. A recipe This is the season of abundant fresh fruits in the markets and there is nothing more romantic than preparations made out of fresh juicy fruits to share with your loved one. Here’s one: Grilled Fruit Kebab with White Chocolate and Sesame Mousse Ingredients: For the mousse: Melted white chocolate: 100 gm Fresh whipped cream: 100 ml Egg yolk: 2 Castor sugar: 25 gm Roasted sesame powder: 25 gm For fruit kebab: Kiwi:1 Strawberry:1 Peach:1 Black Grapes: Few Banana: 1 Brown Sugar: 25 gm Maple syrup: 20 ml Cinnamon powder: A pinch Lime juice: 2 ml Method: For the mousse – Whip the egg yolk and the sugar till pale, add the melted white chocolate and fold in the whipped cream lightly, finally add the roasted sesame powder and fold again. Chill for at least four hours. For the kebab – Cut all fruit in equal sized chunky pieces. Make a marinade of maple syrup, brown sugar, cinnamon, and lime juice, marinate it for 2 hours. Quickly grill on a hot grill or pan with some unsalted butter. Scoop out white chocolate mousse and serve with warm kebab, sprinkled and toasted sesame seeds.last_img read more