The shading shows you the general range of strengths for each seed.Although not a huge effect, the gap between the No. 5 and 6 seeds and their competition has been narrowing over time. The average difference between No. 5 and 12 seeds from 2000 to 2002 was about 7.6 points, but it has been about 5.8 from 2012 to 2014.More importantly, the 5 vs. 12 matchup looks a lot more like the 6 vs. 11 one than it does the 4 vs. 13. The No. 5 seeds have been considerably weaker than No. 4 seeds, and No. 12 seeds have been considerably stronger than No. 13 seeds. The average No. 5 seed had a 6.6 point expected advantage going into a game against its No. 12 seed opponent. That’s only 2.2 points higher than the average advantage that No. 6 seeds held against No. 11 seeds (4.4 points), but it’s 5.1 points lower than the average advantage that No. 4 seeds held against No. 13 seeds (11.7 points).It seems like the 5 vs. 12 seed matchup is the threshold where the games should start being much more competitive. Combine that with the psychological effect of thinking five is a number that has more in common with four than six (blame our five fingers), and you have a recipe for “shocking” upsets.That is, there are a number of upsets, but we shouldn’t really be shocked. Even just looking at recent history, No. 5 seeds have only been a greater than 10 point SRS favorite in eight round-of-64 games since 2005, and they won 7 of them.3The loser was Illinois against Western Kentucky in 2009. The No. 5 seed has been an SRS underdog three times (and lost twice). Still, the No. 5 seed has performed below what one would expect based on the difference between them and their opponents. But so have most seeds. Here’s a chart comparing the average expected outcomes based on SRS difference and average actual outcomes for each seed over the past 12 years:From this angle, the No. 5 seed “outlier” doesn’t look as impressive. Seeds No. 1 through 6 all underperformed expectations by a smallish — but somewhat consistent — amount. The main difference with the No. 5 seed is that it didn’t have a big enough advantage to underperform this much without losing a lot more games.In other words, if there’s something that has systematically led tournament favorites to underperform their expectations by a few points or so across the board,4As a strictly mathy thing, having a somewhat constant deviation isn’t as weird as it may seem because the standard deviation for a team’s actual SRS is similarly stable. So in this case, it’s a bit like the stronger teams are all running one standard deviation below the expected mean. No. 5 seeds would be disproportionately hard-hit. Thus the 5-seed jinx may be more like the proverbial “canary in a coal mine,” indicating that something bigger is going on.We know the Big Dance is exciting, but could there really be something about the tournament that makes favorites underperform and gives underdogs better-than-normal chances?It’s tricky. For example, the selection committee may systematically overvalue particular types/classes of teams, but that doesn’t necessarily explain why teams would underperform relative to SRS. Some of it could be that SRS is poorly calibrated for the types of matchups we see in the tournament (e.g., between larger and smaller conferences that rarely play each other). It could be that favorites are more likely to regress to the mean.5This is always a good candidate, but, interestingly, there is no such effect in the women’s tournament.Or it could just be that this is March Madness, and anything can happen. If there’s one piece of folk wisdom that has emerged over the past decade or so of March Madness, it’s that No. 5 seeds are jinxed. SportsCenter did a whole story on the subject featuring Virginia Commonwealth University. In 2012, VCU was a No. 12 seed that pulled off a “shocking” upset against Wichita State. In 2013, VCU was itself a No. 5 but defied the trend, crushing No. 12 Akron by 46 points to become the only No. 5 seed to win its opening-round (round of 64) game that year. In 2014, VCU’s story came full circle. It again entered the tournament as a No. 5 seed but was upset by unheralded No. 12 seed Stephen F. Austin University. The tournament quirk that was once VCU’s magic was now its curse.Including those VCU games, No. 12 seeds over the past three years have pulled off upsets in eight of 12 round-of-64 matchups, including six of their last eight. It would be extremely easy to dismiss this as a freak occurrence. (I certainly did at first.) But it’s a real phenomenon. And after looking into it, I think it may be indicative of something larger. The 5-seed jinx may be a sign that March Madness — at least on the men’s side — is even madder than we think.But I’ll get there. First, let’s look at the phenomenon. If it seems like No. 12 seeds beat No. 5 seeds more than they should, it’s because they have. Going back to 1995, No. 5 seeds have been upset 33 times in 80 games. Their 59 percent win rate compares unfavorably to the 66 percent win rate of No. 6 seeds. Based on the trend, it would appear that No. 5 seeds should be winning more like 72 percent. Take a look at how far No. 5 seeds deviate in the chart below. The gray region is the standard error on the fit between seed and win percentage when not including the No. 5 seed:So they’re an outlier, but is it significant? Particularly, how unlikely is this to have happened by chance? Let us consult the oracle of binom.dist() — Excel’s handy function that tells you the probability of things happening a certain number of times, given the probability of them happening once. In a fun bit of symmetry, given an expected win rate of 72 percent, the odds of No. 5 seeds losing six of eight, eight of 12, or 33 of 80 are all about the same: Each is a little under 1 percent.10.8 percent, 0.6 percent and 0.7 percent, respectively.Note that it would be unremarkable for this to have happened by chance: One in a hundred-type things happen every day. But, as a committed Bayesian, I have to consult my priors and determine whether the phenomenon of No. 5 seeds’ underperforming is more likely to be a result of chance or other plausible factors.First, let’s look at how strong each seed’s teams have been since 1995. As you go from the 1 vs. 16 matchups down to the 8 vs. 9 ones, the better-seeded teams get worse and the worse-seeded teams get better, making the contests much closer. To see how much so, we can plot each team’s SRS (Simple Rating System, a metric that measures margin of victory adjusted for strength of schedule) prior to the game.2I backed these out myself, so there may be very small differences from what was actually recorded at the time. They’re as prior to each team’s round-of-64 match for each year (since 1995). Check out FiveThirtyEight’s March Madness predictions. read more


first_img Twitter Email Renée Zellweger To Play Hollywood Icon Judy Garland In New Film News Facebook Renée Zellweger To Portray Judy Garland ren%C3%A9e-zellweger-play-hollywood-icon-judy-garland-new-film New film ‘Judy’ to focus on Garland’s final concerts in London in 1968Tim McPhateGRAMMYs Oct 24, 2017 – 7:59 am Oscar-nominated actress Renée Zellweger will portray GRAMMY winner Judy Garland in Judy, an upcoming film chronicling the Hollywood legend’s final concerts in London in 1968.According to The Hollywood Reporter, Judy will center upon Garland’s arrival in London for her series of sellout shows, which took place 30 years after she garnered acclaim for her role in The Wizard Of Oz. As she readies for the concerts, Garland goes back and forth with her management team while engaging with musicians, friends and fans, as well as her then-soon-to-be husband, Mickey Dean. Despite the seemingly idyllic setting, Garland also grapples with her childhood memories that are blurred by her career as well as her yearning to be at home with her children.   GRAMMY History: Complete List Of Album Of The Year Winners And NomineesGarland became the first female to win the GRAMMY for Album Of The Year, taking home the award for Judy At Carnegie Hall at the 4th GRAMMY Awards in 1962. Six of her recordings have been inducted into the GRAMMY Hall Of Fame, including “Over The Rainbow” and The Wizard Of Oz soundtrack.Set to start production in February 2018, Judy will be directed by Tony nominee Rupert Goold and produced by David Livingstone.Tina Turner Performs At Launch Of Her Bio-Musical In LondonRead morelast_img read more


first_img Comments YouTube encouraged users to flag questionable videos. The company also noted in a blog post that creators are allowed to discuss, report or educate people about the Momo Challenge or character. YouTube said that images of Momo won’t be allowed on YouTube Kids, however, and that it’s putting safeguards in place to exclude it from content.Police and schools this week issued warnings to parents about the challenge after reports that it has resurfaced in the UK on YouTube, according to CBS News. The supposed Momo Challenge reportedly originated on the WhatsApp messaging platform, went viral last year and then largely disappeared. The challenge involves Momo, a gruesome puppet-like creature that instructs kids to complete a series of challenges, including harming themselves and others. However, charities like the Samaritans and the National Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Children have said the challenge is a malicious hoax, reported The Guardian on Thursday, and that there’s no confirmed evidence it poses a threat to children. The image of Momo, in fact, is a sculpture called “Mother Bird” by Japanese artist Keisuke Aisawa. There doesn’t appear to be any link between the artist and the challenge.First published Feb. 28 at 11:11 a.m. PT.Update, 1:07 p.m.: Adds more information from YouTube. Tags Keisuke Aisawa/Instagram YouTube on Wednesday disputed claims that the alleged Momo Challenge is appearing on the giant video site.”We want to clear something up regarding the Momo Challenge: We’ve seen no recent evidence of videos promoting the Momo Challenge on YouTube,” the company tweeted. “Videos encouraging harmful and dangerous challenges are against our policies.” 2 We want to clear something up regarding the Momo Challenge: We’ve seen no recent evidence of videos promoting the Momo Challenge on YouTube. Videos encouraging harmful and dangerous challenges are against our policies.— YouTube (@YouTube) February 27, 2019 Share your voice Mobile Culture YouTubelast_img read more


first_img “When they talk about their electric cars, many carmakers promote the same rational and empirical data-driven messages as they do with their internal combustion engined cars, such as range, economy and performance criteria,” Guillaume explains. “Kia prides itself on its power to surprise, which is why we wanted to move away from the rational and focus on the emotional, and embrace a warmer and more human approach to electrification.”OK, so let’s talk about what we do know: Kia’s concept is a large, C-segment car with a high-riding stance, “intentionally designed to not sit within the industry’s predefined vehicle categories,” according to the automaker’s statement. The front fascia has an illuminated grille surround, and the main headlights are housed in individual blocks of glass. Underneath the car is a “low-mounted, induction-charged battery pack that powers a compact drivetrain.” (This vague powertrain data is as technical as Kia gets.) Geneva Motor Show 2019 If you’re looking for hard data about Kia’s electric Geneva Motor Show concept, you’re out of luck. Dubbed “Imagine by Kia,” this big four-door doesn’t focus on things like power or range or advanced driving tech. Instead, it’s all about emotion.”Today’s drivers understandably have many questions about electric cars. They’re concerned about range, the recharging network and whether electric cars will still be dynamic and engaging to drive,” said Gregory Guillaume, Kia’s vice president of design, in a statement. “So, when we first started thinking about this concept and imagining what its role would be, we knew that the best way to answer those questions and address those concerns was by approaching electrification purely from an emotional point of view.”Answering questions by — *checks notes* — not answering them? Go on… Concept Cars Electric Cars 0 1:45 Kia See All Now playing: Watch this: reading • Kia Imagines an electric car with coach doors, silk seats and 21 screens Tags Geneva Motor Show 2019 Kia Mar 7 • New Peugeot 208 debuts i-Cockpit with 3D HUD Combo dashboard Apr 17 • The 2020 Jaguar XE gets its first major visual refresh 16 Photos Share your voice Mar 8 • VW is still ‘100 percent’ investigating a pickup truck for the US 2019 Kia K900: The best luxury sedan you’ve never heard of 2020 Kia Soul EV first drive: More style, more range, more fun ‘Imagine by Kia’ concept: part design study, part parody Imagine by Kia Concept brings 21 screens to the Geneva Motor Show The exterior color comes off as a sort of bronze, and there’s a lot of depth to the hue. Kia says six layers of chrome-effect silver paint were applied to the car’s body, and then covered in a bronze tint.A single piece of glass serves as the windshield and the roof, and tapers into a double-bubble design over the rear of the car. The more you look at the car, the more its elegant surfacing becomes apparent. But because of its 22-inch wheels, wrapped in Goodyear 255/35-series “Intelligrip EV Concept” tires, and large car proportions, it’s hard to tell if this car is really worthy of being called “pretty.” Seeing it in person will surely help.Enlarge ImageKia says the Imagine is about the size of a C-segment sedan, but uses SUV styling cues. Kia Open the coach doors and move inside, and you’re greeted by 21 individual ultra high-resolution screens. The displays curve their way across the dashboard for a look that’s “both casual and coordinated,” according to Kia. This super techy display is actually Kia poking fun at modern cars’ ever-growing infotainment displays.”These 21 incredibly thin screens are a humorous and irreverent riposte to the ongoing competition between some automotive manufacturers to see who can produce the car with the biggest screen,” Kia Europe’s head of interior design, Ralph Kluge, said in a statement.Imagine by Kia ConceptEnlarge ImageYo dawg, we heard you like screens… Kia When viewed from the driver’s seat, the 21 screens appear to form one single display. A robust infotainment system is said to be housed within, with “birds-eye navigation,” as well as the usual roster of media and connected functionality.The slim seating surfaces are covered in leather and silk, and the floating center console sits above the low, flat load floor. Two cargo compartments are found up front (a frunk) and around back, and the Imagine Concept uses a hatchback design, for easier access to your belongings.Given the lack of tangible data, it’s hard to, uh, Imagine this car is destined for production in some form or another. But we like what we see in terms of lighting and infotainment design, as well as body surfacing. Kia’s concept car may be short on details, but there’s certainly a lot to talk about.Imagine by Kia ConceptEnlarge ImageThe hatchback design is said to visually link this concept to the Kia Stinger. Kia More From Roadshow Post a comment 2020 Kia Telluride review: Kia’s new SUV has big style and bigger value Mar 7 • The Ferrari F8 Tributo is the last of the nonhybrid V8s •last_img read more


first_imgChittagong city Awami League president and former city mayor ABM Mohiuddin Chowdhury`s body was taken to Laldigi Maidan in the port city in the afternoon. Thousands of people gathered there to pay last tributes to their leader. Photo: Shourav DasBangladesh Awami League (AL) leader and Chittagong city unit president ABM Mohiuddin Chowdhury was buried on Friday with full state honours beside his father’s grave at Chasma Hill family graveyard in Chittagong.His namaz-e-janaza was held after Asr prayers on Laldigi Maidan in the port city. Mohiuddin Chowdhury passed away at city’s Max Hospital early Friday at the age of 74.He left his two sons, two daughters, wife and a host of relatives, friends, well-wishers and political fellows to mourn his death.President and prime minister Sheikh Hasina expressed shock and grief at the death of the renowned politician.Speaker of the parliament Shirin Sharmin Chaudhury, deputy leader of the house Syeda Sajeda Chowdhury, road transport and bridges minister Obaidul Quader, commerce minister Tofail Ahmed, industries minister Amir Hossain Amu, public administration minister Syed Ashraful Islam, local government, rural development and cooperatives minister Khandker Mosharraf Hossain, expatriates’ welfare and overseas employment minister Nurul Islam BSc, tourism minister Rashed Khan Menon, land minister Shamsur Rahman Sherif, state minister for public administration Begum Ismat Ara Sadique and Chittagong city mayor AJM Nasir Uddin issued separate condolence messages.They expressed profound shock and condolence at the death of Mohiuddin and prayed for eternal peace of the departed soul and conveyed sympathy to the bereaved family members.Recalling his contribution to the country and its people, they said the loss in his death is really irreparable to the country’s political arena.Chowdhury, one of the organisers of 1971 liberation war had been suffering from heart and kidney complications for long. He was put on life-support at the Max Hospital at Mehedibagh in the port city on Thursday evening.last_img

first_img Share Dr. Bob Stein (Professor of Political Science, Rice University), Charles Blain (Houston Director, Empower Texans), and Jessica Colón (Founder, Colón and Co.), join host Gary Polland and guest co-host Jay Aiyer for a discussion on the Texas midterm elections and the two local ballot measures in Houston – Proposition A (Rebuild Houston) and Proposition B (Firefighter Pay Parity). Original air date: November 2, 2018.Watch more episodes of Red, White and Bluelast_img


first_imgKolkata: Kalyan Rudra, chairman of West Bengal Pollution Control Board (WBPCB) said on Tuesday that the permissible levels of particulate matter is reasonably high, contributing to poor air quality in Durgapur.”The main reasons for this are not just industries, but also automobile emissions and construction sites,” Rudra said, speaking at a discussion forum on “Ecological Sustainability in the Industrial Region” in Durgapur, jointly organised by WBPCB and Bengal Chamber of Commerce and Industry (BCCI). Also Read – Rain batters Kolkata, cripples normal lifeThe WBPCB chairman said that analysis of data about air quality of almost all cities of the nation has revealed that air quality deteriorates specifically in winter. He maintained that the WBPCB has not achieved the prescribed standards and admitted that they have much work to do.”As far as water pollution is concerned, the earlier belief of controlling the water flowing into the river has now undergone transformation as letting water flow into rivers is needed. Damodar looks like a desert. We need to harmonise how much water can be restricted and allowed to flow into the rivers,” Rudra said. Also Read – Speeding Jaguar crashes into Mercedes car in Kolkata, 2 pedestrians killedThe WBPCB chairman further raised concerns over plastic pollution. “India produces 26,000 tonnes of plastic daily, which is not properly disposed. Modern life makes use of plastic necessary but it should be bio-degradable,” he added.It may be mentioned that Durgapur, which has been recognised as one of the biggest industrial zones of Eastern India, has been listed as one of the six most polluted industrial cities of India.”We are making a continuous endeavour to focus on sustainable development and to disseminate information and educate business, industry and society about the need for balancing industrial growth with ecological stability,” said Aloke Mookherjea, former president of BCCI.Dilip Kumar Agasty, Mayor of Durgapur Municipal Corporation, also spoke at the programme.last_img read more


first_img 2 min read Everyone knows that water and electronics don’t mix, expensive iPhones, iPads and MacBooks included, but a new patent filing suggests that Apple wants to change that.The tech titan has applied for a U.S. patent that reveals that it’s proactively looking into how to make several of its products resistant to moisture, the electronics kiss of death. And it’s about time. Several rival smartphone and tablet makers, including Samsung and Sony, already offer water-resistant competing products.   Related: Apple Overtakes Samsung as the World’s No. 1 Smartphone SellerApple’s patent application, published today and first reported on by Apple Insider, details designs that would seal internal “water sensitive” components off with a hydrophobic coating. The ultra-thin encasement (potentially between 1 and 10 microns thick) could be directly applied to particular parts, like the fully assembled printed circuit board (PCB), via plasma assisted chemical vapor deposition. Translation: The waterproofing magic would be sprayed on as a vapor and turn solid upon drying.The goal is straightforward: to create a shield that would stop short circuits that can wreak havoc when high voltage components go for a dip or get splattered. However, some key components would still be left unprotected from moisture, including board-to-board connectors.Related: 4 Ways Samsung Says It Will Destroy Apple’s iPhone 6Meanwhile, the hotly-anticipated Apple Watch, the focus of an exclusive Apple powwow in San Francisco next Monday, appears to be more water-resistant than its smartphone, tablet and laptop cousins. The sporty wristlet is apparently so splash-happy that CEO Tim Cook recently boasted that it could be donned in the shower, also reports Apple Insider.    Don’t get too excited for water-resistant Apple goodies other than that pretty watch just yet, though. As we’ve said before, simply because a patent for something is filed doesn’t necessarily mean that the subject of the patent will become a reality anytime soon. This writer is crossing her fingers that this one does, though, and soon, having dunked two iPhones in certain water-filled pots in the recent past. Surely some of you can relate.   Related: Apple’s iPhone: Designed in California But Manufactured Fast All Around the World (Infographic) Free Webinar | Sept 5: Tips and Tools for Making Progress Toward Important Goals March 5, 2015center_img Attend this free webinar and learn how you can maximize efficiency while getting the most critical things done right. Register Now »last_img read more


first_imgJune 30, 2017 While GIFs help us say what words cannot, few agree on how GIF is actually pronounced. And there might be good reason for this, according to new data.Two acceptable pronunciations exist: one with a soft “g” that sounds like a “j,” and one with a hard “g,” as in “gift” or “give.” If you need proof, the Oxford English Dictionary and Merriam-Webster permit both. (That’s all despite the fact that the inventor of the GIF himself, Steve Wilhite, who created those animated image files at CompuServ in the ‘80s, has said that the hard-“g” camp is “wrong.”)Related: Revealed: The Man Behind the Most Viral GIF in PoliticsBut some people don’t know or don’t care what Wilhite or the dictionaries say — they care what the masses say. Recently, Stack Overflow, a forum for computer programmers, conducted its seventh annual Developer Survey. The company polled more than 64,000 developers in nearly 200 countries, posing a variety of benign questions such as education level and career satisfaction before dropping the big ask: “How do you pronounce ‘GIF’?”Sixty-five percent of respondents globally went with the hard “g,” while 26 percent reported they say it with a soft “g.”As the Economist points out, the hard “g” is more prevalent in languages around the word. Spanish and Finnish don’t have any native words with the soft “g,” while most dialects of Arabic are hard “g”-free. The Stack Overflow survey results reflect that discrepancy: People in countries where the hard “g” is more common make up 45 percent of the world’s population, but a disproportionate 79 percent of survey respondents were from those countries. Even when answers were weighted based on population, however, the hard “g” prevailed 44 percent to 32 percent globally.Related: The Origin of the Internet’s Most Famous Dumpster FireIf you’re wondering why those percentages don’t add up to 100, one reason is because some people enunciate all three letters, like an acronym. Half of respondents from China and 70 percent from South Korea say GIF in this way.Or, if all of this ambiguity makes you too anxious, you can always call a GIF by its full name: “Graphics Interchange Format.” Free Webinar | Sept 5: Tips and Tools for Making Progress Toward Important Goals 3 min readcenter_img Attend this free webinar and learn how you can maximize efficiency while getting the most critical things done right. Register Now »last_img read more


first_imgMerit Travel Group ready for international growth with H.I.S. deal Posted by Tuesday, December 13, 2016 Share Travelweek Group center_img TORONTO — Merit Travel Group’s agreement with Japan-based H.I.S. Co. Ltd. will provide “enhanced scale and scope for continued leadership” with Merit founder Michael Merrithew overseeing international acquisition and growth strategy, according to the company. A spokesperson for Merit confirmed that Merit’s founders intend to maintain their ownership share for the long term and operate the business day-to-day.H.I.S. Co. Ltd., based in Japan, is a leading travel company with more than 300 retail locations in Japan and 200 branches in 130 cities around the world. H.I.S. began selling package tours in 1981 and received its general travel agency license in 1986.Under the agreement, H.I.S – Merit Travel will leverage the Merit brand, particularly in North America, to grow its travel business through strategic acquisitions around the world.“Merit has been a leader in the Canadian travel industry for more than 25 years, and in this time has developed a strong portfolio of brands focused on the wholesale and retail specialty leisure travel market, corporate travel management and loyalty program travel services,” said Merrithew. “The agreement with H.I.S. Travel provides our company with the resources required to compete and win in the global travel business, while extending the Merit Travel brand around the world.”More news:  Sunwing ready to launch Mazatlán-Quebec City direct this winterLed by founders Michael Merrithew and Louise de Grandpré, the Merit Travel Group team will continue to operate the business while benefitting from the global scale and scope offered by the H.I.S. partnership.Merit began operations in 1991 and grew to become one of the largest independent travel companies in Canada. More than 450 Merit travel professionals advise over 350,000 Canadian travellers every year. Merit Travel Group operates many specialty travel brands including Merit Travel, Travelcuts, MeritBiz, Merit Loyalty and Exclusive Tours. Tags: Merit Travel Group << Previous PostNext Post >>last_img read more